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Calculated risk

10/28/07

Posted under Philippine politics

While John has his views, my views are, perhaps, slightly different, and you can find them here.

I think there are only a few things we can assume.

1. Joseph Estrada valued his freedom more than the desire of others for him to make a martyr of himself by willingly seeking out imprisonment in New Bilibid.

2. The President obviously thinks her Edsa Dos constituency will grin and bear it, complain but in the end stick it out with her, or if they finally leave her now, it doesn’t matter.

3. The long Nov. 1 & 2 holidays might dissipate political energy enough so that the resumption of hostilities with the reopening of Congress on Nov. 5 will mean momentum will have to be built up again, instead of barreling along the way it has.

Meanwhile you may be interested in the debate Dean Jorge Bocobo and I are having in the comment section of his blog, over Joker Arroyo and the Inquirer’s story on that controversial senate executive session with Romulo Neri.

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41 Responses to “Calculated risk”

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  1. 16
    MC_90 Says:

    Bert,

    so ibalik natin idol mong si erap? hahahahaha

  2. 15
    clipmaster Says:

    good move for gma because her hold to power is strenghten, she knows whats best for her……..

    alam niya laruin ang situation, magaling ang mga advisers, maski mali sa tingin ng karaminhan, tuloy ang decisyon para mapagtibay lang ang hawak sa kapangyarihan………..

    sa pagkakamali naman ni gma, halos si guingona ang nagsasalita, wala na bang ibang personalidad ang opposition, lagay naman sila ng bata bata, articulate mag salita, may palabra de honor…….

    bagong dugo, hindi ko naman minamaliit si guingona pero dapat sa sidelines na lang siya, let the young blood take over, yung may karisma………

    gaganahan ka bang makinig eh pati masalita ay kay bagal bagal tapos mandidilat pa ang mata, kumita na yan ng ilang beses, yung lumulunok naman na espada o kaya bumubuga ng apoy, para makatawag pansin….he..he..he……..

  3. 14
    abigail Says:

    we should analyze first what is happening here. go back to history….why are politicians corrupt? the voters make them corrupt. do you think a politician can win an election w/o spending millions? a politician spends a P100M just to win. where will he get that money? from vested interest groups he will protect once he is in congress. that has been the practice from way back. do you think they can win the seat w/o spending money? no way. it is a practice called Patronage. even in the usa, we hear of “lobby money” as they go out for campaign funds. these interest groups will be paid thru concessions and contracts.
    look at how halleburton contractor in iraq is being attached to dick cheney’s name. lobby money comes from multi-billion drug companies too. so, corruption is not unique in the phils. but lest i be misunderstood, i do not condone the practice. now, how do we tackle this problem? do you think a snap election will solve it? who will replace gma? cj puno does not want the job. if davide wants it, he is the most credible and honest….but does he want it?
    let us think this over carefully….let our love for our country be greater than our hate for gma.
    read what hsbc has to say….that we should stop the political intramurals bec. it is hurting whatever little gains we’ve had. this did not come from me, it came from a foreign investor.
    our problem is rooted historically, and it cannot be solved overnight…
    the politics of patronage is a vicious cycle, it breeds corruption(cronyism, pay-offs, etc.) so, if we replace gma, we will have another politician w/ difft. sets of cronies. i’ll bet my bottom dollar on it..
    come 2010, vote on issues, not personalities…vote for a non-politician…

  4. 13
    Kabayan Says:

    Hi Tim,

    People might really have good reason to throw up, check this out:

    “Arroyo-Estrada alliance possible, says Ermita”
    http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/breakingnews/nation/view_article.php?article_id=97838

    Well at least you are not alone in getting sick:

    “Estrada pardon makes lead prosecutor sick”
    http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/inquirerheadlines/nation/view_article.php?article_id=97816

  5. 12
    Bert Says:

    We can assume further that:

    4. GMA has no more respect for her allies knowing they are either political has-beens or discredited personalities as she is. As such they have no more political bearing or clout.

    5. The Elitist Society will not be so eager to depose a president of their own kind as they did with some one they perceive as below their level therefore there is not enough outrage to propel them to EDSA.

    6. There is no emerging Brutus today, as potent as the old Brutus, to incite the Elitist Society to move.

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