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Scared of computerized elections?

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Why are many of us scared of computerized elections, or at least have some mistrust of it? When I say trust, I mean a collective trust. Not just a mistrust of technology by certain sectors -- say, tech-fearing Luddites (people who fear technology) -- but by a large segment of the entire populace. We need to remember that trust is a mindset.


When we get into our car, use the ATM or ride an airplane to take us 33,000 feet above sea level, we are putting our trust in a collection of components linked together as a system. These systems are backed up by men and women who know how it works and who safeguard its proper operation.


Although our trust in airplanes, ATMs or cars is rocked occasionally by a spate of accidents, such as the braking issue with Toyota recently, we need to understand that there are several things that compose that trust.


One of those is the technology. The technology for counting ballots is simple. Basically you have a sensor that aligns with the shaded portion of the paper ballot. If the circle is shaded dark enough, the sensor triggers on; if not, it reads nothing. It knows where the starting point is on the upper portion of the ballot, and once the ballot is scanned and fed, it knows exactly if candidate X or Y was shaded. If it detects more than the allowed number of candidates to be voted, it will invalidate the ballot. Algorithms that are written by software developers do the counting, check if there are excess votes, and so on.


Granted that if we read too many Robert Ludlum books, we may end up imagining conspiracy theories. Not that the Philippines is a stranger to conspiracies. Many strange things have happened here. So I can understand where the desire to implement a manual count comes from. It is driven by a valid fear - a fear of our history of doing elections.


Technically, you can erase the program and replace it with a malicious one. You can argue that as well with banks. Someone could insert a malicious program into a bank that collects money illegally. But we give our banks the benefit of the doubt. Why? Because even if there are possibilities for malice, we know that there are people who have sworn to protect us against those malicious marauders. These people are the good guys. We need to understand that we are not simply using a system of computers. We are also tapping a big network of people and companies that have pledged to support it.


When you take a step forward, when you cross the Rubicon, there is no turning back. There are people who harken for the days of passbooks, or of horse driven carriages. But if you ask them if they want to return to those times, more often than not, they will say no. They already trust the technology.


You can argue that if you cross the street, you can get run over. But you look carefully, and cross the street anyway. You can buy an airplane ticket and never make it to your destination, or drive a car and have an accident. We know that statistically it is possible. But do we stop doing it? Of course not, we cannot live our lives that way. We use the technology, knowing its limitations, the institutions and people behind it, the criminals who want to thwart it, and take our chances.


There are those who want to implement a manual count. Theoretically, they are right. But from a mindset change perspective, we also need to leave the 13 padlocks per ballot box mentality, the month long wait for elections, and turn it into an exercise as boring that simply tells us who won at day's end during the evening news. Something tells me that some people aren't ready to leave the old frame of mind behind. Instead of looking forward while driving, we are always looking at the rear view mirror.


If we mistrust computerized elections, it is more because we haven't done it yet, but like the automobile, the airplane or the ATM, once we have used it a few times, we become comfortable with it and take it for granted.


Asking to understand the innards of how PCOS works, or to examine the source code, or have a manual intervention is understandable given our history. We are quite adept technically. We have modified the American World War II jeeps to become jeepneys, our technical men and women are second to none. We like understanding the details of the technology. Plus, we have a long history of electoral fraud.


But, without discounting that history of fraud, there is sometimes a need to move forward and to cut clean. When ATM's were new, we could not believe that the money "went over the wires" and went into our accounts. Somehow, we wanted a passbook to tell us in written form that our bank had our money. But after using it many times, we have grown accustomed to ATM's simply printing out our balance for us. We did not ask BANCNET or MEGALINK to explain how their system works, except for some basic explanations. We simply put our trust in the system.


The second element of trust is the men and women tasked with making the system work. Many of us know people who work in the automobile, the aircraft/airline, and the banking industry. We trust these people, so that trust rubs off on the system. But how many of us know anyone from Smartmatic or the computer voting industry? We don't know these people very well, and if we do read about them, it is the scalawags that we read about. Majority of the people in the COMELEC and Smartmatic might be very honest, but very few of us really know them. We have not sized them up close and personal. Most of them are probably as honest as they come, with a few bad eggs, just like any organization.


The last one is the institution. We know that Toyota, Ford and Mitsubishi are brands and we trust them. We know Boeing, Airbus and the airlines and we trust them. We know people from BDO, BPI and Metrobank and we trust them. Some of our sons and daughters even end up working for them. They have in short, become trusted brands. Sadly for the hardworking and honest men and women of the COMELEC, they have to bear the brunt of the scalawags in their ranks.


Even the car companies, the aircraft companies and the banks make mistakes sometimes. We know they stumble once in a while but for most of our dealings with them they do a good job. So for 10 years or more they do a good job then maybe a scandal comes along. Fine, they recover and they regain our trust.


The problem with elections is that these only happen once every few years. Our engagement with the "election industry" if we can call it that, is very limited. So if every time we deal with them, we find problems, then we cannot develop the trust that we have placed in automobiles, in airplanes and in ATMs.


Theoretically, if we hold elections everyday and mistakes are sometimes made, then we still develop that trust because we deal with it everyday and most of our experience with it is good. But we only hold elections every few years. Maybe if we use the machines for every conceivable election, big or small, these computerized elections become just another thing we take for granted. But the machines are hidden away, only to be used during the big event, which is already contentious to say the least. So they are surrounded by myth and mystery. Not unlike chalk and blackboard, which everyone knows how to use.


Use these PCOS machines often. Make these things familiar everyday appliances. Then people will start to take automated elections for granted.


Dennis Posadas is the author of Jump Start: A Technopreneurship Fable (Singapore: Pearson Prentice Hall, 2009) and is the Editor of Cleantech Asia Online. He recently completed a new business fable on climate and clean energy.

What's your power factor?

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Power factor correction is a standard topic taught to electrical engineering students, but it is worth explaining to laypersons given the power crisis that seems to hit us every few years.

If you recall your trigonometry and think of a right triangle (a triangle with one 90 degree angle) as an analogy, the base is what you really consume in terms of Watts. The hypotenuse (the line that slopes at an angle), is the actual power being charged to you by Meralco.

If you remember, the hypotenuse is always longer than any of the sides of a right triangle, so in effect you are paying more. The vertical side, is what bears some explaining here. It isn't really a power consumption in the true sense, but the power generators have to account for it, have to build for it, and have to charge you for it. So you end up paying the amount represented by the hypotenuse, and not the base length.

Most heavy electrical loads are motors. Motors are basically big coils of wire inside, to produce an electromagnetic effect that spins the rotor to turn a mechanical load. A coil of wire is called an inductor in electrical engineering. A funny thing happens to alternating current or AC (what Meralco supplies to us as opposed to DC from a battery) when it passes through a coil of wire. The phase shifts. Think of it as putting the alternating current a beat ahead or a beat less depending on how you view it.

So just for the sake of argument, if we have a nationwide 3,000 Megawatt shortfall (for illustrative purposes) in the next few years, a significant fraction of that is not really true power.

Take note that decisions on powerplant investments have to take this into account.
So if we could have gotten away with building just one new powerplant, we may need to build two, depending on the amount of inductive loads in the total load profile. Unfortunately, inductive loads are a significant percentage of the load profile, so this can be a significant problem.

So what can we do about this? If every AC motor that were built, such as air-conditioners, chillers, etc., were paired with an equivalent rated capacitor (a device that is basically two plates of metal separated a certain distance by an insulator), the vertical component of your power bill would cancel out since capacitors shift the AC in the opposite direction than that of inductors. This shifts the cost burden to the consumer, as capacitors are basically energy saving devices in this case. But the return is, going back to the right triangle example, paying just for the base component, rather than the longer hypotenuse.

The measure of how much of the vertical component you have in your power bill is called your power factor rating. Large companies, particularly in manufacturing, should check whether their motors are properly power factor compensated.

If you would like to see how your company stacks up in terms of optimizing your power factor, talk to your in-house engineer or to Meralco. You will be doing your company a favor and contribute to lessening the power shortfall requirement.

Dennis Posadas is the author of Jump Start: A Technopreneurship Fable (Singapore: Pearson Prentice Hall, 2009) and Editor of Cleantech Asia Online. He recently completed a business fable on climate and clean energy.

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This page is an archive of entries from April 2010 listed from newest to oldest.

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