If you’ve been reading about the foreign exchange markets long enough, you know that forecasting where the peso will end up, say, at the end of the year is futile. I daresay the foreign exchange markets is as fickle, or even more so, than the lady next to you and as temperamental as the toddler next door!
During the height of the Asian financial crisis in 1997 when the peso-dollar rate was the staple story in business pages, I spent so much time tracking the foreign exchange markets that one night, I woke up after a nightmare mumbling “The peso! The peso!”
That can happen to you when you wait for hours until late at night sprawled on the floors of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas just to get first crack at what the Monetary Board members talked about.
But, hey, it’s fun to guess where the foreign exchange rate will go! So here’s an offer. Push that comment button and publish in MoneySmarts your fearless forecast for the peso-dollar rate by the end of the year. The one who comes closest and sends his forecast fastest will get a free personal finance book for Christmas. :-)
What do you say?
A worker at the Philippine central bank recovers spilled bundles of 100 peso notes from the stacking machine at the currency production plant in Manila. (AFP PHOTO ROMEO GACAD)
This photo taken 02 September 2003 shows an inspector checking freshly stamped 25 centavos coins at a stamping machine at the Central Bank’s currency and minting plant in Manila. (AFP PHOTO ROMEO GACAD)



October 31st, 2007 at 11:53 am
by the end of the year the dollar rate will be between 42 - 40 pessos to 1 dollar
October 10th, 2007 at 12:17 am
my forecast is 1$ = 41.10-42.60 php
October 8th, 2007 at 6:16 pm
aw..i am late…i would like a dollar to be in P46 by end of 2007.
October 8th, 2007 at 4:26 pm
my forecast is 42.30 to a dollar comes Holiday Season
October 3rd, 2007 at 11:07 pm
Mine is P43.20. It could go further though to $42 because of the remmitance this december but I’ll stick with my first one.