By Harvey S. Keh
THE merger of the two major administration political parties, Lakas and KAMPI will definitely alter the political landscape in favor of whoever will become the administration standard bearer in the 2010 Elections.
Although many political analysts continue to believe that a President Gloria Arroyo endorsement will be a kiss of death, an endorsement will also give the candidate a wide grassroots network of more than 1,000 local government leaders for the 2010 elections.
Many people forget that when it comes to the national polls, it is not often the most popular who wins but rather the one which has the strongest political machinery on the ground.
The candidacy of the late Fernando Poe, Jr. in the 2004 Presidential elections can easily attest to that. Although FPJ drew huge crowds wherever he went, he was still unable to translate these into votes that would be counted in his favor.
This ground troops are needed not only to campaign and convince people to vote for the candidate but more importantly to ensure that the candidate’s votes are protected from the cheating machinery that usually happens in our elections.
Thus, it is not surprising that while we continue to have a very unpopular President, many continue to court her support for the 2010 elections including MMDA Chairman Bayani Fernando and Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro.
This merger will leave the opposition groups with no choice but to also find a way to merge together lest they find themselves in the same situation as the 2004 elections wherein the opposition vote was spread out between FPJ, Senator Ping Lacson and the late Senator Raul Roco.
Currently, the Presidentialables that are not inclined to seek the administration’s blessings include former President Joseph Estrada, Senators Manny Villar, Mar Roxas, Loren Legarda, Ping Lacson, Francis Escudero, Pampanga Gov. Eddie Panlilio, Makati City Mayor Jojo Binay and Jesus Is Lord Leader Bro. Eddie Villanueva.
More important, the challenge for the opposition is to find a candidate that will espouse good governance and ethical leadership since these are values that seem to be lacking right now with many of our current national leaders.
The opposition cannot just field any candidate based on his or her popularity because if the people see that there is not much difference between the administration and opposition candidates then the so-called kiss of death of President Arroyo may not be felt by the administration candidate.
There is no doubt millions of Filipinos are longing for change and a better leader for our country in 2010 but this will only happen if our current opposition and reform leaders are able to set aside their own personal ambitions towards working together for a common reform Presidential candidate that can give Lakas-KAMPI a run for its money.
For all the sins that this current administration has committed, all of us can rest assured that it will pull all the stops (both legal and illegal) just to be able to ensure that its candidate will win in 2010.
Harvey S. Keh is Director for Youth Leadership and Social Entrepreneurship at the Ateneo School of Government (ASOG). Comments are welcome at harveykeh@gmail.com
No Choice
1 TrackBack
TrackBack URL: http://blogs.inquirer.net/cgi/mt/mt-tb.cgi/646
Animal sex.... Free animal sex sites. Gay animal sex. Animal sex movies. Animal sex videos. Animal sex....----- PING: TITLE: Handjob stories. URL: http://profiles.friendster.com/117951301 DATE: 12/20/2009 09:17:04 AM IP: 127.0.0.1 Handjob videos.... Hetero handjob. Amateur handjob. Hot handjob. Handjob movies. Gay handjob. Giving a handjob. Hetero handjob fan club....----- PING: TITLE: Animal sex. URL: http://profiles.friendster.com/117951202 DATE: 12/19/2009 12:58:20 PM IP: 127.0.0.1 Animal sex.... Animal sex....----- PING: TITLE: Augmentin. URL: http://profiles.friendster.com/118433467 DATE: 12/19/2009 03:41:39 AM IP: 127.0.0.1 Augmentin.... Augmentin. Augmentin and prednisone for pneumonoia. Augmentin side effects. Augmentin 875....----- PING: TITLE: Teen sex. URL: http://teen-sex.blog.friendster.com/ DATE: 12/17/2009 06:32:32 AM IP: 127.0.0.1 Teen sex.... Teen sex....----- PING: TITLE: Female sexual torture. URL: http://torture-tubes.blog.friendster.com/ DATE: 12/16/2009 06:44:59 AM IP: 127.0.0.1 Torture and bondage videos.... Vaginal torture. Uk fem dom male torture....----- PING: TITLE: Zoo sex. URL: http://tubes.b1.jcink.com/ DATE: 12/15/2009 06:51:09 AM IP: 127.0.0.1 Zoo sex.... Zoo sex....----- PING: TITLE: Handjob movie galleries. URL: http://handjobtubes.blog.friendster.com/ DATE: 12/13/2009 11:04:56 PM IP: 127.0.0.1 Hetero handjob.... Handjob. Asian handjob. Handjob videos. Masseuse handjob video....----- PING: TITLE: 200 mg hexal tramadol. URL: http://blogcastrepository.com/members/tramadol4u.aspx DATE: 12/12/2009 12:36:11 PM IP: 127.0.0.1 Tramadol 100mg.... Tramadol....----- PING: TITLE: Lotensin. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3288 DATE: 12/09/2009 05:17:45 PM IP: 127.0.0.1 Lotensin.... Lotensin and pregnancy. Is lotensin a beta blocker. Lotensin. Lotensin hct. Lotensin and ibuprofen....----- PING: TITLE: Celebrex. URL: http://www.theinsider.com/users/Celebrex DATE: 12/09/2009 01:44:09 PM IP: 127.0.0.1 Colorado celebrex lawyers.... Celebrex side effects....----- PING: TITLE: Mg buy phentermine. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3300 DATE: 12/09/2009 11:25:25 AM IP: 127.0.0.1 Discount phentermine.... Phentermine. Abuse phentermine. Phentermine prescription. Phentermine weight loss pill....----- PING: TITLE: Cialis. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3308 DATE: 12/07/2009 10:36:23 PM IP: 127.0.0.1 Cialis.... Taking cialis. Cialis and drug craving. Cialis....----- PING: TITLE: Tramadol hydrochloride. URL: http://www.theinsider.com/users/Tramadolnow DATE: 12/07/2009 07:04:47 PM IP: 127.0.0.1 Tramadol.... Tramadol tablets....----- PING: TITLE: Amaryl. URL: http://www.theinsider.com/users/amaryl DATE: 12/07/2009 10:44:11 AM IP: 127.0.0.1 Amaryl.... Avandia amaryl. Amaryl....----- PING: TITLE: Vicodin online no prescription. URL: http://www.theinsider.com/users/Vicodinnow DATE: 12/05/2009 03:45:49 AM IP: 127.0.0.1 Vicodin.... Buy vicodin without prescription. Vicodin. Buy vicodin online without. No prescription vicodin. Vicodin overdose....----- PING: TITLE: Cialis. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3303 DATE: 12/04/2009 04:45:00 PM IP: 127.0.0.1 Cialis forum.... Cialis drug contraindications. Cialis....----- PING: TITLE: Medieval torture methods. URL: http://profiles.friendster.com/117951396 DATE: 12/01/2009 02:30:45 PM IP: 66.147.240.176 Men sex torture.... Pussy torture. Torture....----- PING: TITLE: Prescription neurontin. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3289 DATE: 12/01/2009 09:43:54 AM IP: 65.60.37.194 Neurontin.... Ofsinemet klonopin neurontin. Neurontin side effects. Neurontin. What is neurontin used for....----- PING: TITLE: Free animal sex pictures. URL: http://animal-sex.blog.friendster.com/ DATE: 12/01/2009 04:31:22 AM IP: 74.86.238.186 Free animal sex pics.... Animal sex library. Animal sex pictures. Animal sex clips animal. Sex animal. Animal sex cartoons. Animal sex....----- PING: TITLE: Elavil facts. URL: http://www.theinsider.com/users/Elavil DATE: 11/30/2009 10:27:55 AM IP: 64.191.50.30 Elavil fact sheet.... Elavil headache. Elavil....----- PING: TITLE: Prozac. URL: http://blogcastrepository.com/members/prozac4u.aspx DATE: 11/30/2009 04:28:49 AM IP: 72.167.131.45 Prozac.... Generic prozac. Prozac withdrawl. Prozac bipolar. Prozac side effects. Prozac nation quotes. Does prozac make you lose weight. Benefits of prozac. Prozac....----- PING: TITLE: Overnight valium. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3301 DATE: 11/29/2009 09:48:25 PM IP: 74.86.238.186 Buy valium.... Valium fedex. Buy valium online. Valium....----- PING: TITLE: Soma. URL: http://blogcastrepository.com/members/soma4u.aspx DATE: 11/29/2009 12:45:15 PM IP: 72.13.82.74 Buy soma watson brand online 150 tablets.... Soma side effects. Generic soma. Pictures of soma 750 mg.. Addiction to soma. Prozac soma zoloft prozac onlineprescription.md. Ashes of soma lyrics....----- PING: TITLE: Buy xanax without prescription in usa. URL: http://my.pantagraph.com/Xanax4u/blog DATE: 11/29/2009 01:25:30 AM IP: 74.86.238.186 No prescription needed purchasing xanax.... Lethal blood levels of xanax. Buy cheap generic xanax. Xanax effect....----- PING: TITLE: Cialis st. URL: http://www.theinsider.com/users/Cialisnow DATE: 11/28/2009 03:10:44 PM IP: 74.86.238.186 Using cialis.... Cialis forum. Cialis. Online pharmacy buy cialis. Viagra vs. cialis....----- PING: TITLE: Zolpidem. URL: http://my.pantagraph.com/Zolpidem/blog DATE: 11/28/2009 01:33:01 AM IP: 208.85.242.212 Zolpidem abuse.... Zolpidem and sleepwalking. Zolpidem tartrate extended-release tablets civ. Zolpidem....----- PING: TITLE: Zolpidem. URL: http://blogcastrepository.com/members/zolpidem.aspx DATE: 11/27/2009 04:29:19 AM IP: 74.86.60.98 Zolpidem.... Zolpidem overdose. Zolpidem. Zolpidem ambien....----- PING: TITLE: Tramadol. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3299 DATE: 11/27/2009 12:48:10 AM IP: 208.43.255.125 Cheapest tramadol.... Tramadol and depression....----- PING: TITLE: Buy hydrocodone without prescription. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3295 DATE: 11/26/2009 05:34:54 PM IP: 74.86.238.186 Withdrawal frpm hydrocodone.... Hydrocodone. Remove acetaminophen from hydrocodone. Buy hydrocodone online....----- PING: TITLE: Horse sex. URL: http://horse-sex.blog.friendster.com/ DATE: 11/26/2009 01:31:40 PM IP: 74.208.16.35 Horse sex.... Horse sex....----- PING: TITLE: Elavil. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3287 DATE: 11/25/2009 10:27:23 AM IP: 64.59.71.191 Elavil facts.... Elavil dosage for insomnia....----- PING: TITLE: Alprazolam intoxicated driving. URL: http://blogcastrepository.com/members/alprazolam.aspx DATE: 11/24/2009 07:45:56 PM IP: 64.191.50.30 Alprazolam.... Alprazolam-ratiopharm. Your online pharmacy alprazolam anxiety. What is alprazolam. Alprazolam....----- PING: TITLE: Connecticut ephedra attorneys. URL: http://www.theinsider.com/users/Ephedranow DATE: 11/24/2009 07:14:41 PM IP: 69.72.202.186 Ephedra.... Ephedra....----- PING: TITLE: Tramadol hcl. URL: http://blogcastrepository.com/members/tramadol2u.aspx DATE: 11/24/2009 04:38:39 AM IP: 74.86.238.186 Tramadol.... Tramadol cod. Side effects of tramadol. Tramadol....----- PING: TITLE: Diovan and excessive bleeding. URL: http://www.theinsider.com/users/Diovan DATE: 11/23/2009 12:10:24 PM IP: 208.109.181.83 Diovan hct problems.... Diovan atenelol dosages. Nyrts diovan. Diovan novertis. Diovan. Diovan hct....----- PING: TITLE: Adderall. URL: http://community.mpix.com/members/cheapadderall.aspx DATE: 11/23/2009 10:58:46 AM IP: 85.17.145.7 Adderall.... Adderall side effects. Adderall. Adderall withdrawal....----- PING: TITLE: Soma juice. URL: http://www.theinsider.com/users/somanow DATE: 11/22/2009 09:57:46 PM IP: 74.208.16.8 Soma petroleum.... Prescription drug called soma. Soma without prescription. Soma side effects. Soma. Soma family apartments san francisco. The strokes is this it soma lyrics free. Soma online next day....----- PING: TITLE: Drug called cialis. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3311 DATE: 11/22/2009 09:50:54 AM IP: 208.109.181.83 Cialis.... Cialis. Cialis and pill splitting. Generic cialis....----- PING: TITLE: Cialis lawyers. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3309 DATE: 11/21/2009 03:35:05 PM IP: 74.208.16.8 3gp young size bbs -cialis -gay.... Buy cialis online. Cialis. Cheapest cialis....----- PING: TITLE: Cialis. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3312 DATE: 11/21/2009 05:38:09 AM IP: 204.124.182.189 Buy cialis.... Cialis uk suppliers. Cheapest cialis. Cialis....----- PING: TITLE: Cheapest cialis. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3310 DATE: 11/20/2009 04:40:54 PM IP: 208.43.255.125 Cialis.... Cialis online. Cialis....----- PING: TITLE: Watson soma. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3282 DATE: 11/20/2009 07:29:52 AM IP: 74.86.238.186 Soma.... Effects of soma. Soma muscle relaxant....----- PING: TITLE: Augmentin. URL: http://forums.hyperic.com/jiveforums/profile.jspa?userID=3283 DATE: 11/20/2009 12:26:31 AM IP: 208.109.171.65 Augmentin.... Can you take augmentin for a staff infection. Zithromax augmentin. Augmentin without a prescription. Augmentin. Augmentin used for. Augmentin k clav. Augmentin xr 1000mg. Augmentin drug interactio....----- PING: TITLE: No Choice | Kaya Natin URL: http://kayanatin.com/blogs/no-choice/ DATE: 06/02/2009 08:40:26 AM IP: 208.77.99.98 [...] candidacy of the late Fernando Poe, Jr. in the 2004 Presidential elections can easily attest to that. Although FPJ drew huge crowds wherever he went, he was still unable to [...]----- -------- Read More
Let me remind you of several past elections in the Philippines which may run in contrary to your idea of how a candidate in a national election can emerge as a winner. I agree with you that its not often that the most popular who wins it, but rather the one who has the strongest political machinery on the ground, but allow me to narrate past political events in our country that will help you refresh your political history in coming up for some conclusions in politics. In the 1960 presidential elections, the then incumbent Pres. Carlos P Garcia lost to Ex-Pres. Diosdado Macapagal and in the 1964 national elections incumbent Pres. Diosdado Macapagal lost to Ex-Pres. Ferdinand E. Marcos. Garcia, the NP standard bearer, using all the powers of his incumbency for a strong and well organized political machinery nationwide was defeated by Macapagal by a big margin, a perceived underdog from the LP and in the same election of 1964, incumbent ex-Pres. Diosdado Macapagal using all the same powers of the presidency was outsmarted by Ex-Pres. Ferdinand E. Marcos despite the strong survey showings of Pres. Macapagal in the Mindanao Islands because of his popular political backer, his Secretary of Defense, Peralta, during his time who was from Mindanao.
An overwhelming victory of the LP, the LIBERAL PARTY in the mid-term local elections of 1962, during the incumbency of Pres. Macapagal, wherein the 20 LP elected mayors and only 1 NP out of 21 towns in the province of Pampanga have attested for a shoe-in of Macapagal in his re-election bid. Despite this dominance of the LP, it didn't give Macapagal a landslide victory in our province.
Then again, we have the 1992 presidential elections. No political party can matched up the strength of the Laban ng Demokratikong Pilipino (LDP)at that time, the biggest emerging opposition party who gave CORY the biggest support for her fight for freedom and justice. Mitra and Ramos slugged it out in the LDP convention and Mitra emerged as the convention winner, but Ramos made a critical breakaway from the LDP and organized his own Lakas-NUCD party against the strong political machinery of the LDP. Ramos was no where to be seen as becoming a winner during the campaign because he was not pairing well in the surveys and never land on top in any surveys prior to election but still he came up victorious. Not even his running mate, the remarkable Justice Fernan could save the LDP's downfall in that election.
The Lakas-NUCD has gained so much political power because of Ramos leadership in his time and yet the powers, strength and machinery down the barangay level didn't benefit former speaker Joe de Venecia in his quest for the presidency in the 1998 elections. No emerging political party can beat the strength of the Ramos party during his term except the short live Partido ng Masang Pilipino of ERAP.
Even in my belief that FPJ could have won the presidency in a clean and honest election, still a great number of Filipinos, voters and non-voters also believed that he gave the ruling party a run for their money in the 2004 elections. Its very hard to become a candidate in a presidential election so, having been accepted as a candidate to be voted or not voted during the election is already a form of winning. To become victorious is another story.
If you really believe that Filipinos are longing for a change and searching for a new leader in the next coming elections, have faith in yourself and to the entire Filipino electorate for they will surely bring down the candidates carrying the shadow of a troubled president like GMA.
I wish to express my sentiments..about Bayani Fernando, whom you mentioned in your article.
We used to hate him before. but after knowing that he did not sign the anomalous WB contract which cost him his job as DPWH Secretary, after knowing that the cost of elevated uturn is only half of the porject cost being presented by DPWH lately, after knowing that he was a Sacristan; that he built the tallest building in the Philippiines; that he is an EDSA Hero...We have now a second look on Bayani. Maybe he is the right guy for the presidency. Alot of people who are snowballing Bay6ani for president are similarly situated people..once upon ta time, we used to hate Bayani.
so big deal they merge thats don't mean there is an election comes 2010. Remember one thing Gloria Arroyo, Well say and do anything in order to stay into her stolen power forever. Furthermore how can anybody believe her when she already proven herself to be the number one LIAR.
And if there is an election comes 2010 I'm pretty sure Gloria Arroyo, Et al. Will do anything in order for her chicken to win by hook or by crooks! just like what they did on May 10, 2004. Presidential election against Fernando Poe, Jr. Except this time its be easy for them to CHEAT because they're going to use the computer machine counting the votes. Its easy to ADD/DELETE the votes on computer.
And if her candidate wins that means Gloria Arroyo, Forever all her sins against the filipino people will be swipe under the rugs just like what happen on all corruption she be doing. And if the filipino people is not going to do something to get rid of her they all deserve what they're getting. I'll say, No Gloria Forever! SHE'S A THIEF.
Very nice site! cheap viagra
Very nice site! [url=http://aixopey.com/qqavst/2.html]cheap cialis[/url]
Very nice site! cheap cialis http://aixopey.com/qqavst/4.html
Very nice site!